Miss State at Alabama: Point Spread Line Movement

Saturday Oct 27, 2012 8:30 pm - Tuscaloosa, AL
Odds: Alabama by 21.5, Total Points: 44.5

More Games From Week 9
ALA -22.0 Open -25.0 High -25.0
Last -22.5 Low -22.0

Line Movement

The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2007-2008 college football season there have been 145 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20.5 to 22.5 points. In these games:

  • The team like Alabama won the game 136 times (93.8%)
  • The team like Mississippi State won the game 9 times (6.2%)
  • The team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 84-59-2 (58.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2009-2010 college football season there have been 193 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points less than the opening line.

In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 106-84-3 (55.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.

Book 1 Book 2 Book 3
Current -22.0 -22.0 -21.5
Open -25.0 -24.0 -24.0
History
10/27 08:42 PM -- -- -21.5
10/27 08:35 PM -- -22.0 --
10/27 08:32 PM -- -- -21.5
10/27 08:30 PM -- -- -22.0
10/27 08:18 PM -22.0 -- --
10/27 08:15 PM -- -22.5 --
10/27 04:32 PM -- -- -22.5
10/27 04:15 PM -- -22.5 --
10/27 11:48 AM -22.5 -- --
10/27 11:35 AM -- -22.5 --
10/27 10:25 AM -- -23.5 --
10/27 10:12 AM -- -- -22.5
10/27 10:08 AM -23.0 -- --
10/26 07:35 PM -- -23.0 --
10/24 04:48 PM -23.0 -- --
10/24 04:25 PM -- -23.0 --
10/24 04:12 PM -- -- -23.0
10/24 04:08 PM -24.0 -- --
10/24 03:52 PM -- -- -24.0
10/24 12:22 PM -- -- -24.0
10/24 11:02 AM -- -- -24.0
10/24 09:12 AM -- -- -24.0
10/23 10:02 PM -- -- -24.0
10/23 09:35 PM -- -24.0 --
10/23 09:18 PM -24.0 -- --
10/23 07:02 PM -- -- -24.0
10/23 05:22 PM -- -- -24.0
10/23 05:15 PM -- -24.5 --
10/23 05:08 PM -24.5 -- --
10/23 08:02 AM -- -- -23.5
10/23 02:52 AM -- -- -24.0
10/22 09:52 PM -- -- -24.0
10/22 06:38 PM -23.5 -- --
10/22 06:32 PM -- -- -24.0
10/22 05:12 PM -- -- -24.0
10/22 05:08 PM -24.0 -- --
10/22 03:32 PM -- -- -24.0
10/22 03:28 PM -23.5 -- --
10/22 01:22 PM -- -- -24.0
10/22 12:58 PM -24.0 -- --
10/22 12:52 PM -- -- -23.5
10/22 11:02 AM -- -- -23.5
10/22 10:58 AM -23.5 -- --
10/21 10:42 PM -- -- -23.5
10/21 10:35 PM -- -23.5 --
10/21 10:18 PM -23.5 -- --
10/21 10:02 PM -- -- -23.5
10/21 07:28 PM -24.0 -- --
10/21 07:22 PM -- -- -24.0
10/21 07:15 PM -- -24.0 --
10/21 06:58 PM -24.0 -- --
10/21 06:28 PM -25.0 -- --
10/20 08:30 PM -- -- -24.0