Holiday Bowl: Louisville vs. USC: Recap
Wednesday Dec 27, 2023 8:00 pm -
San Diego, CA
(Neutral Site)
Odds:
Louisville by 5,
Total Points:
58
Matchup Menu: LOU vs. USC
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville | LOU | 61.5% | ||
| USC | 38.5% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC +4.5 | LOU | 46.5% | ||
| USC | 53.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 58.0 | Over | 47.6% | ||
| Under | 52.4% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| USC +165 | LOU | -4.6% | ||
| USC | +0.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LOU | 30.2 | 30 | 31.2 | 28 |
| USC | 26.8 | 27 | 26.8 | 42 |
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 6.7 | 6.6 |
| Points/Play | 0.502 | 0.523 |
| Rush Play % | 52.06% | 50.47% |
| Pass Play % | 47.94% | 49.53% |
| Completion % | 67.80% | 69.42% |
| 3D Conv % | 42.00% | 52.11% |
| RZ Scoring % | 72.73% | 81.25% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | LOU | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.0 | 5.8 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.423 |
| Opp Completion % | 62.12% | 63.10% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.60% | 34.85% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 81.25% | 81.82% |