New England at Miami: Point Spread Line Movement

Sunday Sep 14, 2025 1:00 pm - Miami Gardens, FL
Odds: Miami by 2.5, Total Points: 42.5

Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines

Since the start of the 2020 NFL season there have been 332 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:

• The team like Miami won the game 192 times (57.8%).
• The team like New England won the game 140 times (42.2%).
• The team like New England did better against the spread, going 171-154-7 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.

Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement

Since the start of the 2022 NFL season there have been 158 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.

In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 80-70-8 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.

Spread History

The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.