New England at Buffalo: Recap
Sunday Oct 5, 2025 8:20 pm -
Orchard Park, NY
Odds:
Buffalo by 7.5,
Total Points:
49
Matchup Menu: NE @ BUF
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | NE | 21.2% | ||
| BUF | 78.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BUF -7.5 | NE | 47.5% | ||
| BUF | 52.5% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 49.0 | Over | 50.3% | ||
| Under | 49.7% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | NE | -0.5% | ||
| BUF | -3.4% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NE | 20.2 | 20 | 20.8 | 23 |
| BUF | 29.0 | 30 | 28.2 | 20 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.8 | 6.7 |
| Points/Play | 0.345 | 0.556 |
| Rush Play % | 47.34% | 49.83% |
| Pass Play % | 52.66% | 50.17% |
| Completion % | 65.61% | 65.94% |
| 3D Conv % | 37.50% | 50.00% |
| RZ Scoring % | 57.14% | 71.43% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | NE | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.6 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.329 | 0.403 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.05% | 66.67% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 38.33% | 42.65% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 60.00% | 76.19% |