Detroit at Buffalo: Recap
Thursday Sep 17, 2026 8:15 pm -
Orchard Park, NY
Odds:
Buffalo by 5.5,
Total Points:
54.5
Matchup Menu: DET @ BUF
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | DET | 31.2% | ||
| BUF | 68.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET +5.5 | DET | 50.1% | ||
| BUF | 49.9% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 54.5 | Over | 47.9% | ||
| Under | 52.1% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | DET | -1.5% | ||
| BUF | -2.7% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DET | 24.1 | 24 | 24.5 | 31 |
| BUF | 29.6 | 29 | 30.0 | 41 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | DET | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 6.5 |
| Points/Play | 0.494 | 0.534 |
| Rush Play % | 39.16% | 46.22% |
| Pass Play % | 60.84% | 53.78% |
| Completion % | 67.02% | 66.39% |
| 3D Conv % | 37.29% | 53.33% |
| RZ Scoring % | 77.27% | 68.75% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | DET | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.412 | 0.393 |
| Opp Completion % | 68.08% | 63.95% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 50.70% | 40.74% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 80.95% | 68.75% |