Tampa Bay at Miami: Recap
Sunday Dec 28, 2025 1:00 pm -
Miami Gardens, FL
Odds:
Tampa Bay by 5.5,
Total Points:
44
Matchup Menu: TB @ MIA
| Game Winner Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay | TB | 67.2% | ||
| MIA | 32.8% | |||
| ATS Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA +4.5 | TB | 50.0% | ||
| MIA | 50.0% | |||
| Totals Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 43.5 | Over | 49.4% | ||
| Under | 50.6% | |||
| Money Line Value Pick | Confidence | Projection | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lay Off | TB | -2.1% | ||
| MIA | -1.8% | |||
| Final Score Projection | Likely Score | Vegas Implied | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TB | 23.9 | 23 | 24.0 | 17 |
| MIA | 19.4 | 20 | 19.5 | 20 |
NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.
Offensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TB | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.1 |
| Points/Play | 0.329 | 0.255 |
| Rush Play % | 44.74% | 47.45% |
| Pass Play % | 55.26% | 52.55% |
| Completion % | 65.56% | 56.15% |
| 3D Conv % | 38.24% | 41.27% |
| RZ Scoring % | 47.06% | 46.15% |
Defensive Stat Comparison
| Stat | TB | MIA |
|---|---|---|
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.5 |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.396 | 0.440 |
| Opp Completion % | 66.27% | 76.55% |
| Opp 3D Conv % | 33.87% | 51.72% |
| Opp RZ Scoring % | 53.85% | 63.64% |