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Tampa Bay at Miami: Recap

Sunday Dec 28, 2025 1:00 pm - Miami Gardens, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 5.5, Total Points: 44

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay TB 67.2%
MIA 32.8%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
MIA +4.5 TB 50.0%
MIA 50.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 43.5 Over 49.4%
Under 50.6%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off TB -2.1%
MIA -1.8%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
TB 23.9 23 24.0 17
MIA 19.4 20 19.5 20

NOTE: Predictions stop updating roughly 1 hour before game time.

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat TB MIA
Yards/Play 5.1 5.4
Points/Play 0.356 0.366
Rush Play % 44.19% 45.52%
Pass Play % 55.81% 54.48%
Completion % 62.90% 67.22%
3D Conv % 41.23% 34.90%
RZ Scoring % 54.00% 56.25%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat TB MIA
Opp Yards/Play 5.7 5.8
Opp Points/Play 0.411 0.414
Opp Completion % 66.73% 72.04%
Opp 3D Conv % 39.50% 39.90%
Opp RZ Scoring % 69.77% 59.68%