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Make Tournament

62.3%

Automatic Bid

40.7%

At Large Bid

21.6%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (13.0%)

Final Four

0.5%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.0%
26 91.5%
25 67.7%
24 36.8%
23 18.2%
22 8.1%
21 6.4%
20 2.4%
19 0.0%
OVERALL 62.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.0% -
3 0.1% -
4 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.0% 0.1%
6 2.8% 0.1%
7 4.3% 0.1%
8 4.5% 0.0%
9 5.2% 0.0%
10 6.6% 0.0%
11 8.7% 0.0%
12 13.0% 0.0%
13 10.1% 0.0%
14 4.7% 0.0%
15 1.1% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.