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Make Tournament

93.7%

Automatic Bid

32.7%

At Large Bid

61.0%

Most Likely Seed

#1 (31.3%)

Final Four

22.3%

NCAA Champs

7.4%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 99.9%
18 99.3%
17 96.7%
16 88.4%
15 67.2%
14 30.2%
13 13.9%
12 3.0%
OVERALL 93.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 31.3% 15.7%
2 16.4% 6.8%
3 9.6% 4.1%
4 7.2% 3.1%
5 6.6% 2.0%
6 5.8% 1.4%
7 5.0% 1.0%
8 4.0% 0.6%
9 3.1% 0.3%
10 2.2% 0.2%
11 1.6% 0.1%
12 0.9% 0.1%
13 0.1% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 7.4%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.