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Make Tournament

99.7%

Automatic Bid

65.1%

At Large Bid

34.6%

Most Likely Seed

#2 (30.0%)

Final Four

19.4%

NCAA Champs

4.7%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
34 100.0%
33 100.0%
32 100.0%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 99.6%
26 96.8%
25 85.8%
24 58.2%
23 21.2%
22 1.3%
21 0.0%
OVERALL 99.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 13.1% 9.8%
2 30.0% 6.2%
3 24.2% 3.8%
4 15.4% 2.6%
5 9.1% 1.7%
6 4.7% 1.2%
7 1.7% 0.8%
8 0.6% 0.6%
9 0.4% 0.5%
10 0.2% -
11 0.1% -
12 0.1% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 4.7%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.