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Make Tournament

99.9%

Automatic Bid

12.1%

At Large Bid

87.9%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (29.7%)

Final Four

8.0%

NCAA Champs

1.2%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 99.9%
23 99.8%
OVERALL 99.9%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.5% 1.7%
2 7.8% 1.6%
3 21.9% 1.4%
4 29.7% 1.2%
5 22.1% 1.0%
6 10.8% 0.9%
7 4.3% 0.8%
8 1.7% 0.7%
9 0.7% 0.8%
10 0.3% 0.4%
11 0.1% -
12 0.0% -
13 0.0% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 1.2%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.