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Make Tournament

40.7%

Automatic Bid

7.6%

At Large Bid

33.1%

Most Likely Seed

#12 (4.7%)

Final Four

1.8%

NCAA Champs

0.3%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.6%
21 97.5%
20 89.0%
19 70.2%
18 40.1%
17 16.1%
16 4.0%
15 0.6%
14 0.3%
13 0.2%
OVERALL 40.7%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 1.1% 2.1%
2 2.1% 1.1%
3 2.6% 0.6%
4 2.8% 0.4%
5 2.5% 0.3%
6 2.2% 0.3%
7 2.5% 0.2%
8 3.1% 0.1%
9 3.5% 0.1%
10 3.7% 0.1%
11 3.9% 0.1%
12 4.7% 0.1%
13 3.4% 0.0%
14 1.9% 0.1%
15 0.6% 0.0%
16 0.1% -
OVERALL 0.3%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.