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Make Tournament

99.3%

Automatic Bid

17.5%

At Large Bid

81.8%

Most Likely Seed

#4 (18.3%)

Final Four

6.2%

NCAA Champs

0.8%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
31 100.0%
30 100.0%
29 100.0%
28 100.0%
27 100.0%
26 100.0%
25 100.0%
24 100.0%
23 100.0%
22 99.5%
21 97.1%
20 84.9%
19 57.8%
18 21.8%
17 3.9%
OVERALL 99.3%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 4.2% 2.5%
2 12.4% 1.7%
3 16.8% 1.1%
4 18.3% 0.8%
5 16.5% 0.5%
6 11.4% 0.4%
7 6.8% 0.3%
8 4.6% 0.2%
9 3.3% 0.2%
10 2.3% 0.2%
11 1.5% 0.2%
12 0.9% 0.1%
13 0.2% -
14 0.0% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 0.8%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.