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Make Tournament

74.4%

Automatic Bid

10.0%

At Large Bid

64.4%

Most Likely Seed

#3 (8.3%)

Final Four

8.6%

NCAA Champs

2.1%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
22 100.0%
21 100.0%
20 100.0%
19 100.0%
18 100.0%
17 100.0%
16 100.0%
15 99.8%
14 98.4%
13 91.7%
12 72.5%
11 42.1%
10 15.1%
9 2.0%
8 0.3%
OVERALL 74.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 5.0% 9.9%
2 7.8% 5.2%
3 8.3% 3.1%
4 7.8% 2.0%
5 7.2% 1.4%
6 7.0% 0.9%
7 6.8% 0.6%
8 6.4% 0.3%
9 5.7% 0.2%
10 4.8% 0.2%
11 3.9% 0.1%
12 3.0% 0.0%
13 0.7% 0.0%
14 0.1% -
15 0.0% -
16 0.0% -
OVERALL 2.1%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.