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W Virginia at Syracuse: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 14, 2011 7:00 pm - Syracuse, NY
Odds: Syracuse by 5, Total Points: 133

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WVU SYR
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting WVU SYR
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 59.1
Field Goal % 46.8% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 35.5 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 51.7% 55.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 23.3
3 Point Shooting % 38.8% 37.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 19.8
Free Throw % 70.4% 72.8%
Ball Control WVU SYR
Rebounds 35.6 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 7.5
Turnovers 14.2 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.0
Steals 4.0 9.6
Fouls 13.9 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WVU SYR
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with WVU SYR
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 44.0%
3 Point Attempt 25.8% 28.7%
Player Fouled 20.2% 19.1%
Turnover 19.5% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 13.2% 5.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken WVU SYR
Shot Blocked 6.9% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 28.6% 22.3%