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Houston at Miami: Recap

Friday Mar 21, 2025 8:00 pm - Miami, FL
Odds: Houston by 4.5, Total Points: 212.5

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Houston HOU 62.9%
MIA 37.1%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
HOU -4.5 HOU 50.6%
MIA 49.4%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 212.5 Over 46.5%
Under 53.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off HOU -1.9%
MIA -0.6%
Final Score Projection Vegas Implied Actual
HOU 107.7 108.5 102
MIA 103.0 104.0 98

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU MIA
Points/Game 114.1 120.9
Avg Score Margin +4.7 +2.3
Fastbreak Pts/Gm 14.1 18.4
Pts in Paint/Gm 52.7 54.7
Assists/Game 25.1 29.0
Total Rebounds/Gm 57.2 55.0
Effective FG % 53.8% 54.2%
Off Rebound % 34.4% 25.3%
FTA/FGA 0.262 0.266
Turnover % 13.2% 11.4%

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat HOU MIA
Opp Points/Game 109.4 118.6
Opp Effective FG % 53.1% 54.0%
Opp Pts in Paint/Gm 48.9 52.0
Off Rebounds/Gm 14.9 11.8
Def Rebounds/Gm 32.7 34.5
Blocks/Game 5.7 4.3
Steals/Game 8.8 8.6
Personal Fouls/Gm 18.5 18.7