Miami at Tampa Bay: Recap

Friday May 15, 2026 7:10 pm - St. Petersburg, FL
Odds: Tampa Bay by 1.5, Total Points: 8

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Tampa Bay MIA 47.4%
TB 52.6%
Run Line Pick Confidence Value
Lay Off 0.0%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Under 8.0 Over 49.0%
Under 51.0%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
Lay Off MIA -2.1%
TB -2.3%
Final Score Projection Actual
MIA 3.9 2
TB 4.1 7

Offensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Win % - All 0.462 0.607
Win % - Close 0.480 0.625
Runs/Game 4.18 4.62
At Bats/Game 33.06 33.72
Hits/Game 8.03 8.62
Home Runs/Game 0.85 0.85
Doubles/Game 1.55 1.41
Triples/Game 0.20 0.20
RBIs/Game 4.02 4.38
Walks/Game 3.37 3.74
Strikeouts/Game 8.32 7.28
Stolen Bases/Game 1.11 0.89
Total Bases/Game 12.52 12.98
Batting Avg 0.243 0.256
Slugging % 0.379 0.385
On Base % 0.320 0.335
On Base + Slugging % 0.699 0.720
Hit Into Double Plays/Game 0.72 0.92

Defensive Stat Comparison

Stat MIA TB
Run Differential -23.0 +10.0
Errors/Game 0.71 0.67
Opp Runs/Game 4.54 4.46
Opp At Bats/Game 33.05 34.10
Opp Hits/Game 7.55 8.16
Opp Home Runs/Game 0.95 1.21
Opp Doubles/Game 1.54 1.64
Opp Triples/Game 0.17 0.08
Opp RBIs/Game 4.29 4.28
Opp Walks/Game 3.55 3.05
Opp Strikeouts/Game 8.43 7.77
Opp Stolen Bases/Game 0.98 1.03
Opp Total Bases/Game 12.29 13.61
Opp Batting Avg 0.229 0.239
Opp Slugging % 0.372 0.399
Opp On Base % 0.312 0.304
Opp On Base + Slugging % 0.684 0.703
Double Plays/Game 0.68 0.67