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Make Tournament

35.4%

Automatic Bid

35.0%

At Large Bid

0.4%

Most Likely Seed

#16 (7.1%)

Final Four

0.0%

NCAA Champs

0.0%

Projected NCAA Tournament Seed

NCAA Tournament Chances


Odds To Make NCAA Tournament By Win Total

Total Wins NCAA Bid%
29 100.0%
28 98.0%
27 97.2%
26 88.6%
25 81.1%
24 66.5%
23 57.4%
22 45.0%
21 34.9%
20 24.4%
19 17.8%
18 10.1%
17 6.7%
16 6.0%
15 3.1%
14 2.5%
13 1.9%
12 2.1%
OVERALL 35.4%

NOTE: Bid% above comes from season simulations. Some possible win totals are ommitted due to small sample size.

NCAA Tournament Win Odds By Seed

Seed Probability Win Odds
1 0.0% -
2 0.2% -
3 0.3% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.0%
6 0.4% 0.0%
7 0.8% 0.0%
8 1.2% 0.0%
9 1.4% 0.0%
10 1.6% 0.0%
11 1.9% 0.0%
12 3.2% 0.0%
13 4.2% 0.0%
14 5.6% 0.0%
15 6.9% 0.0%
16 7.1% 0.0%
OVERALL 0.0%

*The above table shows how a team's chance of winning the conference tournament changes based upon the seed it gets. A blank value in the Win Odds column doesn't mean a team has no chance to win with that seed; it simply means that the sample size of our simulation was too small to give a reliable estimate.