Stonehill at TX A&M-Com: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 20, 2023 8:00 pm - Commerce, TX
Odds: Texas A&M Commerce by 7.5, Total Points: 141.5

More Games From Nov 20, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 60.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.6 27.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 50.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 32.8
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 33.2%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.5 17.4
Free Throw % 69.3% 70.1%
Rebounds 36.4 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 8.9
Turnovers 13.5 10.4
Blocked Shots 2.3 5.4
Steals 4.7 7.8
Fouls 12.7 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STONE TAMCOM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with STONE TAMCOM
2 Point Attempt 41.3% 33.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.7% 39.9%
Player Fouled 19.3% 17.5%
Turnover 18.6% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 10.8% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken STONE TAMCOM
Shot Blocked 9.0% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 23.2%