S Indiana at Bucknell: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 20, 2023 7:00 pm - Lewisburg, PA
Odds: Bucknell by 2.5, Total Points: 141.5

More Games From Nov 20, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring USI BUCK
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting USI BUCK
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 51.3
Field Goal % 39.4% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 27.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.5% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 33.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 23.0
Free Throw % 75.2% 72.8%
Ball Control USI BUCK
Rebounds 35.6 33.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 7.4
Turnovers 10.7 11.0
Blocked Shots 2.4 3.4
Steals 5.4 5.9
Fouls 19.1 17.2

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USI BUCK
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with USI BUCK
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 35.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 30.4%
Player Fouled 24.9% 27.6%
Turnover 15.5% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken USI BUCK
Shot Blocked 6.7% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.1% 22.5%