Howard at Bryant: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 20, 2023 7:00 pm - Smithfield, RI
Odds: Bryant by 4.5, Total Points: 159

More Games From Nov 20, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOW BRY
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HOW BRY
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 58.7
Field Goal % 37.7% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 34.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 56.0%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 21.8 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 34.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 24.0
Free Throw % 74.5% 69.1%
Ball Control HOW BRY
Rebounds 40.8 35.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.3 6.9
Turnovers 13.4 11.1
Blocked Shots 2.4 6.1
Steals 5.9 6.6
Fouls 18.3 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOW BRY
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HOW BRY
2 Point Attempt 42.0% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 28.7%
Player Fouled 21.2% 23.6%
Turnover 17.4% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOW BRY
Shot Blocked 10.5% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 19.4%