Houston at Golden State: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 20, 2023 10:00 pm - San Francisco, CA
Odds: Golden State by 7, Total Points: 220

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring HOU GS
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting HOU GS
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 92.6 90.1
Field Goal % 44.7% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 53.8 51.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 38.8 38.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 36.3%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 24.3 23.6
Free Throw % 76.8% 77.7%
Ball Control HOU GS
Rebounds 49.7 53.7
Rebounds - Defensive 35.9 40.0
Rebounds - Offensive 13.8 13.7
Turnovers 10.7 13.0
Blocked Shots 4.5 5.2
Steals 7.1 6.0
Fouls 17.4 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HOU GS
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with HOU GS
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 43.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 32.3%
Player Fouled 17.4% 16.9%
Turnover 10.4% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HOU GS
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 27.6%