New Orleans at Memphis: Box Score Simulation

Monday Feb 12, 2024 8:00 pm - Memphis, TN
Odds: New Orleans by 9.5, Total Points: 221

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NO MEM
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NO MEM
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 85.9 85.8
Field Goal % 48.9% 42.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 52.6 44.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.5% 51.3%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 33.3 41.2
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 33.5%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 20.7
Free Throw % 77.9% 76.6%
Ball Control NO MEM
Rebounds 51.0 46.4
Rebounds - Defensive 39.3 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.7 11.8
Turnovers 13.0 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.8 6.2
Steals 8.3 6.5
Fouls 16.7 16.9

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NO MEM
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NO MEM
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 38.9%
3 Point Attempt 29.0% 35.9%
Player Fouled 16.8% 16.6%
Turnover 12.9% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NO MEM
Shot Blocked 7.3% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 23.1%