Our Week 9 NFL contest for $2,249 in guaranteed prizes is open! Claim Your Spot Now

Basketball Bracketology Trends 2014

Every day, we run thousands of computer simulations of the college basketball season, including all remaining regular season games, all conference tournaments, NCAA selection and seeding, and the NCAA tournament itself. Why this matters.


Odds To Get An NCAA Bid

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Tulsa 100.0% 20.0% 80.0%
Albany 100.0% 25.6% 74.4%
W Michigan 100.0% 39.9% 60.1%
Cal Poly 100.0% 63.3% 36.7%
Ste F Austin 100.0% 72.5% 27.5%
Weber State 100.0% 79.2% 20.8%
Georgia St 62.0% 41.7% 20.3%
NC Central 100.0% 80.8% 19.2%
TX Southern 78.6% 63.9% 14.7%
N Mex State 100.0% 86.7% 13.3%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
LA Tech 11.0% 76.2% -65.2%
Toledo 60.5% 91.4% -31.0%
Tennessee 58.3% 74.5% -16.2%
Dayton 39.1% 52.6% -13.5%
St Bonavent 0.0% 11.3% -11.3%
Prairie View 2.8% 11.6% -8.8%
Middle Tenn 4.1% 11.9% -7.8%
Georgia 1.2% 7.0% -5.8%
NC State 10.7% 16.1% -5.4%
Alabama St 6.0% 11.1% -5.0%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Cal Poly 100.0% 5.3% 94.7%
Albany 100.0% 9.9% 90.1%
Tulsa 100.0% 12.6% 87.4%
W Michigan 100.0% 20.1% 79.9%
WI-Milwkee 100.0% 23.1% 76.9%
American 100.0% 27.8% 72.2%
Wofford 100.0% 29.0% 71.0%
Manhattan 100.0% 33.6% 66.4%
Mt St Marys 100.0% 38.1% 61.9%
Providence 100.0% 43.9% 56.1%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Boston U 0.0% 72.2% -72.2%
LA Tech 11.0% 52.3% -41.3%
Iona 6.3% 45.2% -38.9%
Georgetown 8.0% 40.4% -32.4%
Iowa 37.7% 65.4% -27.7%
St Johns 21.0% 42.4% -21.4%
Dayton 39.1% 56.8% -17.7%
Arkansas 0.6% 18.2% -17.6%
Middle Tenn 4.1% 20.9% -16.8%
Oklahoma St 40.0% 55.6% -15.7%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
WI-Milwkee 100.0% 0.6% 99.4%
Cal Poly 100.0% 7.0% 93.0%
Mt St Marys 100.0% 8.5% 91.5%
Albany 100.0% 9.4% 90.6%
Tulsa 100.0% 9.5% 90.5%
W Michigan 100.0% 15.6% 84.4%
Wofford 100.0% 20.9% 79.1%
Coastal Car 100.0% 21.9% 78.1%
E Kentucky 100.0% 24.0% 76.0%
American 100.0% 25.6% 74.4%

Odds To Get An NCAA Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
WI-Grn Bay 17.3% 80.9% -63.5%
Iowa 37.7% 99.0% -61.3%
Boston U 0.0% 48.0% -48.0%
California 13.2% 60.9% -47.6%
Belmont 1.1% 40.5% -39.4%
LA Tech 11.0% 47.8% -36.8%
Iona 6.3% 41.6% -35.2%
St Johns 21.0% 52.4% -31.4%
Missouri 8.5% 38.7% -30.2%
Boise State 0.0% 27.1% -27.1%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Tulsa 100.0% 19.1% 80.9%
Providence 100.0% 24.2% 75.8%
Albany 100.0% 25.6% 74.4%
UCLA 100.0% 31.6% 68.4%
W Michigan 100.0% 39.3% 60.7%
New Mexico 100.0% 43.2% 56.8%
Iowa State 100.0% 58.1% 41.9%
Cal Poly 100.0% 63.3% 36.7%
Ste F Austin 100.0% 71.8% 28.2%
Michigan St 53.6% 27.0% 26.6%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Prairie View 2.8% 11.6% -8.8%
Alabama St 6.0% 11.1% -5.0%
Duke 51.2% 53.3% -2.2%
Jackson St 11.4% 12.3% -0.9%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Providence 100.0% 4.7% 95.3%
Cal Poly 100.0% 5.3% 94.7%
Albany 100.0% 9.9% 90.1%
Tulsa 100.0% 12.2% 87.8%
UCLA 100.0% 15.3% 84.7%
Iowa State 100.0% 15.5% 84.5%
W Michigan 100.0% 19.8% 80.2%
WI-Milwkee 100.0% 23.1% 76.9%
American 100.0% 27.8% 72.2%
Wofford 100.0% 29.0% 71.0%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Alcorn State 1.2% 2.0% -0.8%
Prairie View 2.8% 1.5% 1.3%
NC State 2.7% 0.4% 2.3%
Jackson St 11.4% 5.6% 5.8%
Kentucky 39.9% 30.8% 9.1%
Wichita St 100.0% 85.7% 14.3%
Duke 51.2% 36.5% 14.7%
Georgia St 61.3% 45.6% 15.7%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
WI-Milwkee 100.0% 0.6% 99.4%
Providence 100.0% 3.9% 96.1%
Cal Poly 100.0% 7.0% 93.0%
Mt St Marys 100.0% 8.5% 91.5%
Tulsa 100.0% 9.3% 90.7%
Albany 100.0% 9.4% 90.6%
W Michigan 100.0% 14.7% 85.3%
Iowa State 100.0% 16.5% 83.5%
Wofford 100.0% 20.9% 79.1%
Coastal Car 100.0% 21.9% 78.1%

Odds To Get An Auto-Bid -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Alcorn State 1.2% 4.2% -3.0%
Prairie View 2.8% 2.6% 0.2%
Jackson St 11.4% 9.5% 1.9%
NC State 2.7% 0.4% 2.3%
Kentucky 39.9% 35.1% 4.8%
Duke 51.2% 40.2% 11.0%
Harvard 100.0% 87.7% 12.3%
LA Lafayette 38.7% 19.3% 19.4%
St Josephs 26.4% 5.3% 21.2%
Florida 60.1% 38.7% 21.4%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Michigan 25.7% 20.0% 5.6%
Kansas 13.0% 9.9% 3.1%
Villanova 56.6% 53.6% 3.0%
Florida 87.2% 84.9% 2.3%
Virginia 3.0% 2.3% 0.7%
Michigan St 0.6% 0.3% 0.3%
Louisville 1.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Iowa State 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Arizona 86.2% 89.9% -3.7%
Creighton 5.5% 9.0% -3.5%
Wisconsin 12.4% 15.5% -3.1%
Duke 6.7% 9.4% -2.7%
Syracuse 14.7% 17.3% -2.6%
San Diego St 0.2% 0.3% -0.1%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Michigan 25.7% 12.1% 13.5%
Wichita St 85.0% 76.4% 8.6%
Florida 87.2% 82.4% 4.8%
Syracuse 14.7% 10.7% 4.0%
Duke 6.7% 4.7% 2.0%
Arizona 86.2% 84.7% 1.5%
Louisville 1.3% 0.7% 0.5%
Creighton 5.5% 5.2% 0.3%
Iowa State 0.5% 0.2% 0.3%
Villanova 56.6% 56.3% 0.3%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Wisconsin 12.4% 42.2% -29.7%
Virginia 3.0% 7.9% -4.9%
Kansas 13.0% 14.4% -1.4%
U Mass 0.0% 0.1% -0.1%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Florida 87.2% 42.5% 44.8%
Wichita St 85.0% 48.9% 36.2%
Michigan 25.7% 4.1% 21.5%
Villanova 56.6% 46.3% 10.3%
Arizona 86.2% 82.6% 3.6%
San Diego St 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Odds To Get A 1 Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Wisconsin 12.4% 44.0% -31.6%
Creighton 5.5% 35.7% -30.2%
Kansas 13.0% 35.3% -22.3%
Syracuse 14.7% 29.6% -14.9%
Michigan St 0.6% 6.7% -6.1%
Duke 6.7% 12.6% -5.9%
Kentucky 0.0% 0.9% -0.8%
UCLA 0.2% 1.0% -0.8%
Saint Louis 0.1% 0.9% -0.8%
Connecticut 0.0% 0.8% -0.8%

Projected Avg. Seed

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Gain Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Providence 9.6 10.3 -0.7
New Mexico 6.9 7.3 -0.4
Michigan St 4.3 4.7 -0.4
UCLA 5.1 5.5 -0.4
Iowa State 4.3 4.6 -0.3
Kansas St 9.0 9.2 -0.3
St Josephs 10.4 10.7 -0.3
Missouri 11.4 11.6 -0.2
N Dakota St 11.2 11.4 -0.2
Iowa 10.9 11.1 -0.2

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Decline Since Yesterday

Team Now Yesterday Change
Toledo 11.0 10.4 0.5
Geo Wshgtn 10.1 9.7 0.4
NC State 12.7 12.3 0.4
San Diego St 5.0 4.6 0.3
Washington 13.6 13.2 0.3
Creighton 2.8 2.6 0.3
Ohio State 5.0 4.8 0.2
LA Tech 12.1 11.9 0.2
Tennessee 10.6 10.4 0.2
Dayton 10.1 9.9 0.2

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Nebraska 9.2 10.7 -1.5
Providence 9.6 10.3 -0.7
Saint Louis 5.7 6.4 -0.7
New Mexico 6.9 7.4 -0.6
Iowa State 4.3 4.7 -0.5
Ohio State 5.0 5.4 -0.4
UCLA 5.1 5.5 -0.4
Michigan 2.0 2.4 -0.4
Baylor 8.1 8.4 -0.3
Syracuse 2.3 2.6 -0.2

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 1 Week Ago

Team Now 1 Week Ago Change
Florida St 12.0 10.7 1.3
U Mass 6.8 5.6 1.2
Washington 13.6 12.4 1.1
Richmond 13.7 12.6 1.1
Arkansas 11.7 10.6 1.1
Arizona St 10.6 9.6 1.0
W Virginia 12.6 11.6 1.0
Oklahoma St 11.0 10.0 1.0
St Josephs 10.4 9.6 0.9
Utah 12.2 11.4 0.9

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Gain Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
VCU 6.5 8.4 -1.9
Oregon 7.3 9.2 -1.8
Michigan 2.0 3.8 -1.8
Nebraska 9.2 10.7 -1.5
Oklahoma 5.8 7.2 -1.4
Gonzaga 7.1 8.5 -1.4
Baylor 8.1 9.3 -1.2
San Diego St 5.0 6.1 -1.1
Providence 9.6 10.6 -1.0
Memphis 8.8 9.7 -0.9

Projected Avg. Seed -- Biggest Decline Since 3 Weeks Ago

Team Now 3 Weeks Ago Change
Iowa 10.9 6.3 4.6
Missouri 11.4 9.1 2.3
California 11.7 9.6 2.2
Kentucky 6.7 4.7 2.0
Arizona St 10.6 8.7 2.0
Richmond 13.7 11.8 1.9
LSU 12.8 10.9 1.9
Stanford 10.3 8.5 1.8
Marquette 13.6 11.8 1.7
Washington 13.6 12.0 1.6