| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Reliant Stadium, Houston, TX |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201 | OAK | +9.0 | 42.5 | +335 |
| 202 | HOU | -9.0 | -385 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oakland | Power Ratings | Oakland 52% odds to win | |
| Houston | Similar Games | Houston 63% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK +9.0 | Power Ratings | Oakland wins by 0.6 | |
| OAK +9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Oakland 56% odds to cover | |
| OAK +9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Oakland loses by 6.6 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 42.5 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go over 42.5 points | |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| OAK +335 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 29% different from model | |
| OAK +335 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 14% different from model |
| Stat | OAK | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 12.3 | 24.2 | |
| Points/Play | 0.209 | 0.372 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -11.4 | +3.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 266.1 | 383.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.9% | 53.2% | |
| SOS PR | 25.0 | 24.1 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | OAK | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.7 | 20.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.370 | 0.342 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 361.9 | 324.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.3 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.7 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.1 | 52.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | OAK | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 2-6 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 5-3 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | OAK | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 7-7-2 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-5-0 | 6-5-1 | |
| Streak | W1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||