Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Monday, October 5, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Hubert Humphrey Metrodome, Minneapolis, MN |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 | GNB | +4.5 | 46.0 | +187 |
| 228 | MIN | -4.5 | -207 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | Power Ratings | Minnesota 73% odds to win | |
| Minnesota | Similar Games | Minnesota 64% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN -4.5 | Power Ratings | Minnesota wins by 8.3 | |
| GNB +4.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Green Bay 55% odds to cover | |
| GNB +4.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Green Bay loses by 3.1 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 46.0 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go over 46.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIN -215 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| GNB +189 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | GNB | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 29.8 | 29.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.456 | 0.445 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +9.3 | +10.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 386.5 | 381.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 53.7% | 54.6% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | GNB | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.5 | 19.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.346 | 0.326 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 298.9 | 299.6 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.1 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.4 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +1.3 | +0.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 66.6 | 46.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | GNB | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 12-4 | |
| vs Division | 4-2 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 10-4 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 6-4 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 9-0 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | GNB | adv | MIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5-1 | 11-6-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 4-1-1 | |
| vs Conference | 8-4-1 | 9-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-2-1 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 5-2-1 | 6-2-1 | |
| Away | 6-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||