Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 1:05 PM |
| Location | Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 | TEN | -3.0 | 42.0 | -176 |
| 204 | JAC | +3.0 | +161 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee | Power Ratings | Tennessee 52% odds to win | |
| Tennessee | Similar Games | Tennessee 51% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +3.0 | Power Ratings | Jacksonville loses by 0.6 | |
| JAC +3.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Jacksonville 51% odds to cover | |
| JAC +3.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Jacksonville loses by 1.6 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 41.5 | Similar Games | 57% odds to go over 41.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC +151 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| JAC +151 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 9% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TEN | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.1 | 18.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.287 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | -5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 351.4 | 336.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.6% | 50.0% | |
| SOS PR | 24.0 | 25.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TEN | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.1 | 23.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.6 | 352.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.3 | 32.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TEN | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TEN | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9-0 | 5-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||