Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205 | BAL | +1.0 | 45.5 | +122 |
| 206 | NWE | -1.0 | -134 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore | Power Ratings | Baltimore 60% odds to win | |
| Baltimore | Similar Games | Baltimore 50% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL +1.0 | Power Ratings | Baltimore wins by 3.2 | |
| BAL +1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Baltimore 51% odds to cover | |
| NWE -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | New England wins by 1.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 45.0 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 45.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BAL -101 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BAL | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 23.7 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.378 | 0.387 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.3 | +7.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 342.1 | 385.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.4 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.8% | 54.6% | |
| SOS PR | 27.1 | 27.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BAL | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.4 | 18.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.262 | 0.317 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 293.3 | 317.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.7 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.5 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 65.2 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BAL | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 8-6 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-1 | |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BAL | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-8-1 | 7-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 2-3-1 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-7-1 | 5-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-5-1 | 2-4-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||