Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | Louisiana Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 | NYJ | +7.5 | 47.0 | +285 |
| 218 | NOR | -7.5 | -325 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans | Power Ratings | New Orleans 80% odds to win | |
| New Orleans | Similar Games | New Orleans 71% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -7.5 | Power Ratings | New Orleans wins by 11.8 | |
| NYJ +7.5 | Similar Games - Odds | NY Jets 52% odds to cover | |
| NOR -7.5 | Similar Games - Pts | New Orleans wins by 8.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 46.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 46.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NOR -325 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 3% different from model | |
| NYJ +285 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 3% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | NYJ | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 21.4 | 32.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.336 | 0.509 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.9 | +11.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 323.1 | 396.9 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.1 | 6.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 52.7% | 51.7% | |
| SOS PR | 28.6 | 28.2 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | NYJ | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 15.5 | 21.3 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.258 | 0.325 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 269.6 | 364.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.6 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 2.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | +0.9 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 44.0 | 51.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | NYJ | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7 | 13-3 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 9-6 | 11-3 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 8-2 | |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | NYJ | adv | NOR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-8-0 | 10-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 1-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-6-0 | 5-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-4-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||