Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | FedEx Field, Hyattsville, MD |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 | TAM | +9.5 | 36.0 | +350 |
| 214 | WAS | -9.5 | -400 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | Power Ratings | Washington 61% odds to win | |
| Washington | Similar Games | Washington 82% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAM +9.0 | Power Ratings | Tampa Bay loses by 3.2 | |
| WAS -9.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Washington 59% odds to cover | |
| WAS -9.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Washington wins by 9.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 37.0 | Similar Games | 51% odds to go under 37.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| TAM +305 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 15% different from model | |
| WAS -355 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TAM | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.2 | 16.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.254 | 0.274 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -9.8 | -4.4 | |
| Yards/Game | 287.5 | 312.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.2 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.2% | 48.2% | |
| SOS PR | 28.5 | 26.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TAM | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.0 | 21.0 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.385 | 0.336 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.6 | 319.7 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.8 | 1.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.3 | -0.7 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 43.5 | 42.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-13 | 4-12 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 0-6 | |
| vs Conference | 3-9 | 2-10 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 1-7 | 3-5 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 1-7 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TAM | adv | WAS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10-0 | 6-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 2-3-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-4-1 | |
| Home | 1-7-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 4-2-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||