Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 8:20 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225 | SDG | +5.5 | 43.0 | +214 |
| 226 | PIT | -5.5 | -240 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Diego | Power Ratings | San Diego 59% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 67% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG +5.5 | Power Ratings | San Diego wins by 2.7 | |
| SDG +5.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Diego 50% odds to cover | |
| SDG +5.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Diego loses by 5.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 43.0 | Similar Games | 50% odds to go under 43.0 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDG +219 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 28% different from model | |
| SDG +219 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 27.5 | 23.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.453 | 0.363 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +7.7 | +2.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 359.1 | 371.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.8% | 53.3% | |
| SOS PR | 25.4 | 25.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | SDG | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 19.8 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.320 | 0.335 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 323.1 | 305.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 38.6 | 48.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-3 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 5-1 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 9-4 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 6-3 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 7-1 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | SDG | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-1 | 5-10-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 1-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-3-1 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 3-5-1 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||