| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Cleveland Stadium, Cleveland, OH |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 | CIN | -6.0 | 37.5 | -260 |
| 208 | CLE | +6.0 | +228 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati | Power Ratings | Cincinnati 90% odds to win | |
| Cincinnati | Similar Games | Cincinnati 73% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -6.0 | Power Ratings | Cincinnati wins by 19.6 | |
| CIN -6.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Cincinnati 57% odds to cover | |
| CIN -6.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cincinnati wins by 7.4 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 37.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go over 37.5 points | |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIN -285 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
| Stat | CIN | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 18.8 | 15.3 | |
| Points/Play | 0.298 | 0.252 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.2 | -8.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 307.5 | 260.2 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.9 | 4.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 51.4% | 47.5% | |
| SOS PR | 25.9 | 22.9 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | CIN | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 18.5 | 23.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.304 | 0.350 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 304.4 | 389.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.5 | 1.2 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.1 | -0.8 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 54.0 | 41.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | CIN | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6 | 5-11 | |
| vs Division | 6-0 | 1-5 | |
| vs Conference | 7-6 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | L2 | W4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 6-3 | 3-5 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | CIN | adv | CLE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-10-0 | 10-6-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-8-0 | 9-3-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 3-6-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||