Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 4:05 PM |
| Location | Dolphins Stadium, Miami, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 219 | BUF | +1.0 | 37.5 | +111 |
| 220 | MIA | -1.0 | -121 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo | Power Ratings | Buffalo 78% odds to win | |
| Miami | Similar Games | Miami 61% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +1.0 | Power Ratings | Buffalo wins by 10.6 | |
| MIA -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Miami 59% odds to cover | |
| MIA -1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Miami wins by 2.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 37.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 37.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUF +113 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 31% different from model | |
| MIA -123 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 5% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | BUF | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.1 | 22.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.283 | 0.331 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -4.2 | -1.9 | |
| Yards/Game | 273.9 | 337.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.8 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 46.4% | 53.2% | |
| SOS PR | 27.0 | 26.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | BUF | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.4 | 24.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.300 | 0.403 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 340.6 | 349.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.8 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 2.1 | 1.3 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.2 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.4 | 40.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | BUF | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-10 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 3-4 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 3-6 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | BUF | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8-0 | 8-8-0 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Away | 5-4-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||