Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Invesco Field, Denver, CO |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 | DAL | -1.0 | 43.5 | -138 |
| 224 | DEN | +1.0 | +126 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Ratings | Denver 73% odds to win | |
| Denver | Similar Games | Denver 58% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +1.0 | Power Ratings | Denver wins by 8.5 | |
| DAL -1.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Dallas 50% odds to cover | |
| DEN +1.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Denver wins by 2.2 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 43.5 | Similar Games | 58% odds to go over 43.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +118 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 28% different from model | |
| DEN +118 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 13% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.1 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.344 | 0.316 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +5.6 | +0.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 392.4 | 341.4 | |
| Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 54.1% | 49.8% | |
| SOS PR | 28.1 | 23.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 16.6 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.272 | 0.322 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 317.6 | 315.0 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.2 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.9 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.1 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 53.7 | 50.0 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 11-5 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 5-2 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 10-4 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4 | 2-8 | |
| Home | 7-2 | 4-4 | |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DAL | adv | DEN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-8-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| vs Division | 4-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-5-0 | 6-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-3-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 4-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||