Game Information
| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Monster Park, San Francisco, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 | STL | +9.5 | 36.5 | +370 |
| 222 | SFO | -9.5 | -430 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco | Power Ratings | San Francisco 91% odds to win | |
| San Francisco | Similar Games | San Francisco 88% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO -9.5 | Power Ratings | San Francisco wins by 20.0 | |
| SFO -9.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Francisco 53% odds to cover | |
| SFO -9.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Francisco wins by 12.4 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Over 36.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 36.5 points | |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFO -420 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 10% different from model | |
| SFO -420 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 7% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | STL | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 10.9 | 20.6 | |
| Points/Play | 0.175 | 0.351 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -16.3 | +3.1 | |
| Yards/Game | 279.4 | 290.8 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.0 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.4% | 50.9% | |
| SOS PR | 23.9 | 22.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | STL | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.2 | 17.6 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.268 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 372.8 | 326.4 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.0 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 2.1 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.6 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 47.4 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | STL | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-15 | 8-8 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 7-5 | |
| Streak | L8 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 0-8 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 1-7 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | STL | adv | SFO |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9-0 | 9-4-3 | |
| vs Division | 1-5-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 7-3-2 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-3-2 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 4-2-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||