| Week | Week 4 |
| Date | Sunday, October 4, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211 | DET | +9.5 | 43.0 | +406 |
| 212 | CHI | -9.5 | -476 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | Power Ratings | Chicago 63% odds to win | |
| Chicago | Similar Games | Chicago 81% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +10.0 | Power Ratings | Detroit loses by 4.0 | |
| CHI -10.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Chicago 54% odds to cover | |
| CHI -10.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Chicago wins by 10.5 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Predictions not yet available | |||
| Under 41.5 | Similar Games | 56% odds to go under 41.5 points | |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +370 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 16% different from model |
| Stat | DET | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.4 | 20.4 | |
| Points/Play | 0.253 | 0.337 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -14.5 | -3.0 | |
| Yards/Game | 299.0 | 310.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.1 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.2% | 47.8% | |
| SOS PR | 24.4 | 24.6 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | DET | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 23.4 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.480 | 0.363 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.1 | 338.5 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.1 | -0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.0 | 52.2 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | DET | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-14 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 5-7 | |
| Streak | L6 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 2-6 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 0-8 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | DET | adv | CHI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-10-2 | 6-10-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-5-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-8-2 | 4-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-6-2 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-5-2 | 2-6-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||