Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 223 | DET | +14.0 | 48.5 | +790 |
| 224 | GNB | -14.0 | -1050 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay | Power Ratings | Green Bay 80% odds to win | |
| Green Bay | Similar Games | Green Bay 87% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +14.0 | Power Ratings | Detroit loses by 12.3 | |
| DET +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Detroit 58% odds to cover | |
| DET +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Detroit loses by 11.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 48.5 | Similar Games | 53% odds to go over 48.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DET +740 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 8% different from model | |
| DET +740 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 1% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 16.4 | 29.8 | |
| Points/Play | 0.253 | 0.456 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -14.5 | +9.3 | |
| Yards/Game | 299.0 | 386.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.6 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.240% | 53.712% | |
| SOS PR | 24.4 | 25.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DET | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 30.9 | 20.5 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.480 | 0.346 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 392.1 | 298.9 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 6.1 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.4 | 2.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -1.1 | +1.3 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 48.0 | 66.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DET | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 2-14 | 11-5 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | L6 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 7-3 | |
| Home | 2-6 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 0-8 | 5-4 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DET | adv | GNB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-10-2 | 11-5-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-5-1 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 2-8-2 | 8-4-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-6-2 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 5-2-1 | |
| Away | 1-5-2 | 6-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||