Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2009 |
| Time | 4:15 PM |
| Location | Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 231 | TEN | +9.5 | 38.0 | +376 |
| 232 | NWE | -9.5 | -436 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| New England | Power Ratings | New England 87% odds to win | |
| New England | Similar Games | New England 76% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWE -9.5 | Power Ratings | New England wins by 16.9 | |
| TEN +9.5 | Similar Games - Odds | Tennessee 61% odds to cover | |
| TEN +9.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Tennessee loses by 8.9 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 37.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 37.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWE -430 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 6% different from model | |
| TEN +370 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 2% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | TEN | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 22.1 | 25.9 | |
| Points/Play | 0.358 | 0.387 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -3.0 | +7.2 | |
| Yards/Game | 351.4 | 385.5 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.7 | 5.8 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.585% | 54.609% | |
| SOS PR | 24.0 | 27.8 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | TEN | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 25.1 | 18.7 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.387 | 0.317 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 365.6 | 317.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.6 | 5.4 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.7 | 1.8 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.2 | +0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 51.3 | 46.1 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | TEN | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 10-6 | |
| vs Division | 2-4 | 4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8 | 7-6 | |
| Streak | W1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 5-3 | 8-1 | |
| Away | 3-5 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | TEN | adv | NWE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9-0 | 7-8-2 | |
| vs Division | 2-4-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-8-0 | 5-6-2 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-5-2 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 5-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-5-0 | 2-4-2 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||