| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Heinz Field, Pittsburgh, PA |
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 213 | CLE | +14.0 | 37.5 | +740 |
| 214 | PIT | -14.0 | -1000 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh | Power Ratings | Pittsburgh 75% odds to win | |
| Pittsburgh | Similar Games | Pittsburgh 84% odds to win |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE +14.0 | Power Ratings | Cleveland loses by 9.4 | |
| CLE +14.0 | Similar Games - Odds | Cleveland 55% odds to cover | |
| CLE +14.0 | Similar Games - Pts | Cleveland loses by 10.7 |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 37.5 | Similar Games | 55% odds to go under 37.5 points |
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| CLE +740 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 13% different from model | |
| CLE +740 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
| Stat | CLE | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 15.3 | 23.0 | |
| Points/Play | 0.252 | 0.363 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -8.1 | +2.8 | |
| Yards/Game | 260.2 | 371.3 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.3 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 47.543% | 53.302% | |
| SOS PR | 22.9 | 25.7 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Stat | CLE | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 23.4 | 20.2 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.350 | 0.335 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 389.3 | 305.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.8 | 5.1 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.4 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | -0.2 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 41.4 | 48.3 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
| Record | CLE | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-11 | 9-7 | |
| vs Division | 1-5 | 2-4 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | W4 | W3 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | |
| Home | 3-5 | 6-2 | |
| Away | 2-6 | 3-5 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
| Record | CLE | adv | PIT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-6-0 | 5-10-1 | |
| vs Division | 4-2-0 | 1-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 9-3-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| Streak | W7 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-5-1 | |
| Home | 5-3-0 | 2-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||