Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Sunday, October 18, 2009 |
| Time | 1:00 PM |
| Location | Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 217 | STL | +9.5 | 42.0 | +365 |
| 218 | JAC | -9.5 | -425 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville | Power Ratings | Jacksonville 86% odds to win | |
| Jacksonville | Similar Games | Jacksonville 91% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC -9.5 | Power Ratings | Jacksonville wins by 16.1 | |
| STL +9.5 | Similar Games - Odds | St Louis 51% odds to cover | |
| JAC -9.5 | Similar Games - Pts | Jacksonville wins by 11.8 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 42.5 | Similar Games | 52% odds to go over 42.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAC -415 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 5% different from model | |
| JAC -415 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 11% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | STL | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 10.9 | 18.1 | |
| Points/Play | 0.175 | 0.287 | |
| Avg Score Margin | -16.3 | -5.6 | |
| Yards/Game | 279.4 | 336.6 | |
| Yards/Play | 4.5 | 5.3 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 48.4% | 50.0% | |
| SOS PR | 23.9 | 25.0 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | STL | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 27.2 | 23.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.429 | 0.387 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 372.8 | 352.3 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.9 | 5.7 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.2 | 1.6 | |
| TO Margin/Game | -0.8 | +0.1 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 52.1 | 32.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | STL | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 1-15 | 7-9 | |
| vs Division | 0-6 | 3-3 | |
| vs Conference | 1-11 | 6-6 | |
| Streak | L8 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 | |
| Last 10 | 1-9 | 4-6 | |
| Home | 0-8 | 5-3 | |
| Away | 1-7 | 2-6 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | STL | adv | JAC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-9-0 | 5-11-0 | |
| vs Division | 1-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-7-0 | 5-7-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 3-5-0 | 2-6-0 | |
| Away | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||