Game Information
| Week | Week 6 |
| Date | Monday, October 19, 2009 |
| Time | 8:30 PM |
| Location | Qualcomm Stadium, San Diego, CA |
Odds
| Rot | Team | Spread | O/U | Money |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 235 | DEN | +3.5 | 44.5 | +165 |
| 236 | SDG | -3.5 | -183 |
Matchup Analysis
Game Winner Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Denver | Power Ratings | Denver 72% odds to win | |
| San Diego | Similar Games | San Diego 68% odds to win |
ATS Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +3.5 | Power Ratings | Denver wins by 7.7 | |
| SDG -3.5 | Similar Games - Odds | San Diego 52% odds to cover | |
| SDG -3.5 | Similar Games - Pts | San Diego wins by 4.3 |
Over/Under Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 44.5 | Similar Games | 59% odds to go over 44.5 points |
Money Line Predictions
| Pick | Confidence | Model | Prediction |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN +158 | Power Ratings | Vegas money line is 33% different from model | |
| SDG -173 | Similar Games | Vegas money line is 4% different from model |
Key Offensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Points/Game | 20.4 | 27.5 | |
| Points/Play | 0.316 | 0.453 | |
| Avg Score Margin | +0.1 | +7.7 | |
| Yards/Game | 341.4 | 359.1 | |
| Yards/Play | 5.3 | 5.9 | |
| TOP % (net OT) | 49.821% | 49.802% | |
| SOS PR | 23.8 | 25.4 | |
| Offensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Key Defensive Stats
| Stat | DEN | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opp Points/Game | 20.2 | 19.8 | |
| Opp Points/Play | 0.322 | 0.320 | |
| Opp Yards/Game | 315.0 | 323.1 | |
| Opp Yards/Play | 5.0 | 5.2 | |
| Takeaways/Game | 1.9 | 1.5 | |
| TO Margin/Game | +0.4 | +0.4 | |
| Penalty Yds/Game | 50.0 | 38.6 | |
| Defensive Stat Breakdown » | |||
Win/Loss Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-8 | 13-3 | |
| vs Division | 3-3 | 5-1 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6 | 9-4 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8 | 9-1 | |
| Home | 4-4 | 6-3 | |
| Away | 4-4 | 7-1 | |
| More Win/Loss Analysis » | |||
ATS Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | SDG |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-7-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| vs Division | 3-3-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 6-6-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-2-1 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 4-4-0 | 3-5-1 | |
| Away | 5-3-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| More ATS Analysis » | |||