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USC at Stanford

  Saturday Dec 31, 2011 - 6:30 pm - Stanford, CA | Odds: Stanford by 7.5, Total Points: 112 | Team Pages: USC | STAN

Box Score Projection

Scoring USC STAN
Points 42.9 67.6
Total Points   110.6
Points From 2-Pointers 21.7 39.1
Points From 3-Pointers 12.0 8.2
Points From Free Throws 9.3 20.3

Shooting USC STAN
Field Goals Made 14.8 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.3 65.8
Field Goal % 26.4% 33.9%
2 Pointers Made 10.8 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.1 50.7
2 Point Shooting % 25.7% 38.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.0 2.7
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 15.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.2% 18.1%
Free Throws Made 9.3 20.3
Free Throws Attempted 14.0 28.2
Free Throw % 66.0% 72.0%

Ball Control USC STAN
Rebounds 35.9 55.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 33.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 22.4
Turnovers 13.4 7.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 3.0
Steals 3.2 5.5
Fouls 15.3 10.4

Playing Style Advantage: Stanford

Expected Effect: +2.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats USC STAN
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 65.7 83.9

% of Possessions with USC STAN
2 Point Attempt 52.4% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.7% 16.3%
Player Fouled 15.1% 22.2%
Turnover 19.5% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 4.7%

Odds Per Shot Taken USC STAN
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 46.7%