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TN Martin at UAB

  Sunday Nov 27, 2011 - 4:00 pm - Birmingham, AL | Odds: UAB by 16.5, Total Points: 126.5 | Team Pages: TMAR | UAB

Box Score Projection

Scoring TMAR UAB
Points 70.6 72.2
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.5 32.8
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.1 13.8

Shooting TMAR UAB
Field Goals Made 25.6 24.9
Field Goals Attempted 68.4 54.2
Field Goal % 37.4% 46.0%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 53.1 39.8
2 Point Shooting % 38.2% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 15.3 14.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 59.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 23.3 15.9
Free Throw % 60.3% 86.7%

Ball Control TMAR UAB
Rebounds 46.7 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 26.6
Rebounds - Offensive 21.0 4.9
Turnovers 9.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 0.1 5.4
Steals 6.8 8.5
Fouls 13.3 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TMAR UAB
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 83.1 64.4

% of Possessions with TMAR UAB
2 Point Attempt 56.2% 52.1%
3 Point Attempt 16.2% 18.9%
Player Fouled 20.3% 18.6%
Turnover 12.9% 16.6%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 9.5%

Odds Per Shot Taken TMAR UAB
Shot Blocked 10.0% 0.2%
Offensive Rebound 44.1% 16.0%