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SE Missouri at Grd Canyon: Box Score Simulation

Monday Nov 6, 2023 9:00 pm - Phoenix, AZ
Odds: Grand Canyon by 17, Total Points: 141.5

Matchup Menu: SEMO @ GRC

More Games From Nov 6, 2023

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring SEMO GRC
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting SEMO GRC
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 59.4 50.5
Field Goal % 33.9% 49.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 36.5% 58.7%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 17.5 16.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.8% 30.9%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 36.1
Free Throw % 70.6% 76.0%
Ball Control SEMO GRC
Rebounds 29.1 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 31.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 11.1
Turnovers 12.8 10.3
Blocked Shots 2.1 4.9
Steals 4.3 7.9
Fouls 21.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SEMO GRC
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with SEMO GRC
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 40.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 19.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 29.8%
Turnover 17.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken SEMO GRC
Shot Blocked 9.8% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 36.2%