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WI-Grn Bay at N Dakota St

  Wednesday Nov 16, 2011 - 8:00 pm - Fargo, ND | Odds: N/A Total Points: N/A | Team Pages: WGB | NDST

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring WGB NDST
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view

Shooting WGB NDST
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 48.9
Field Goal % 41.6% 38.7%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 32.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.4% 39.6%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 12.9 16.0
3 Point Shooting % 26.5% 36.8%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 17.9 20.2
Free Throw % 63.8% 68.9%

Ball Control WGB NDST
Rebounds 35.2 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 7.3
Turnovers 8.7 10.7
Blocked Shots 4.0 3.5
Steals 5.7 3.8
Fouls 16.1 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WGB NDST
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view

% of Possessions with WGB NDST
2 Point Attempt 55.0% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.2% 21.9%
Player Fouled 21.1% 25.0%
Turnover 13.6% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 5.9% 8.8%

Odds Per Shot Taken WGB NDST
Shot Blocked 7.3% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.3% 21.8%