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New Mexico at UNLV

  Friday Mar 9, 2012 - 11:30 pm - Las Vegas, NV | Odds: UNLV by 3.5, Total Points: 136 | Team Pages: NMEX | UNLV

Box Score Projection

Scoring NMEX UNLV
Points 39.3 38.8
Total Points   78.1
Points From 2-Pointers 5.4 20.3
Points From 3-Pointers 19.1 12.1
Points From Free Throws 14.8 6.4

Shooting NMEX UNLV
Field Goals Made 9.1 14.2
Field Goals Attempted 72.6 58.6
Field Goal % 12.5% 24.2%
2 Pointers Made 2.7 10.1
2 Pointers Attempted 47.0 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 5.8% 26.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.4 4.0
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 24.9% 19.4%
Free Throws Made 14.8 6.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.3 12.3
Free Throw % 69.5% 51.7%

Ball Control NMEX UNLV
Rebounds 67.2 44.9
Rebounds - Defensive 37.6 35.1
Rebounds - Offensive 29.6 9.8
Turnovers 10.6 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.7 11.0
Steals 5.3 2.9
Fouls 16.1 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: New Mexico

Expected Effect: +2.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NMEX UNLV
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 86.2 66.3

% of Possessions with NMEX UNLV
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.3% 26.6%
Player Fouled 18.7% 24.0%
Turnover 15.8% 15.9%
Opponent Steal 4.3% 7.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken NMEX UNLV
Shot Blocked 19.1% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 45.8% 20.7%