Northeastrn at Old Dominion: Box Score Simulation

Monday Jan 23, 2012 7:00 pm - Norfolk, VA
Odds: Old Dominion by 7.5, Total Points: 117.5

NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy (which is why we do not include it on other prediction pages throughout the site). We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc). To see our best prediction for the winner and final score of the game, please see the matchup overview page.

Box Score Projection

Scoring NE ODU
Points Subscribe to view
Total Points Subscribe to view
Points From 2-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From 3-Pointers Subscribe to view
Points From Free Throws Subscribe to view
Shooting NE ODU
Field Goals Made Subscribe to view
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 59.8
Field Goal % 44.5% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
2 Pointers Attempted 33.0 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.5% 48.1%
3 Pointers Made Subscribe to view
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.6% 35.6%
Free Throws Made Subscribe to view
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 14.5
Free Throw % 73.5% 65.9%
Ball Control NE ODU
Rebounds 39.1 30.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 22.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 7.8
Turnovers 12.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 3.6 3.8
Steals 5.4 7.2
Fouls 12.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Subscribe to view

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NE ODU
Total Possessions Subscribe to view
Effective Scoring Chances Subscribe to view
% of Possessions with NE ODU
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 48.0%
3 Point Attempt 26.7% 27.1%
Player Fouled 21.3% 17.7%
Turnover 18.0% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NE ODU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.7% 21.5%