Golden State at LA Lakers

  Friday Jan 6, 2012 - 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA | Odds: Los Angeles by 10.5, Total Points: 185.5 | Team Pages: GSW | LAL

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSW LAL
Points 88.5 66.4
Total Points   154.9
Points From 2-Pointers 19.7 22.5
Points From 3-Pointers 31.8 3.8
Points From Free Throws 37.0 40.1

Shooting GSW LAL
Field Goals Made 20.4 12.5
Field Goals Attempted 64.2 68.5
Field Goal % 31.8% 18.3%
2 Pointers Made 9.8 11.2
2 Pointers Attempted 28.9 60.3
2 Point Shooting % 34.1% 18.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.6 1.3
3 Pointers Attempted 35.2 8.2
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 15.4%
Free Throws Made 37.0 40.1
Free Throws Attempted 51.5 49.1
Free Throw % 71.9% 81.7%

Ball Control GSW LAL
Rebounds 55.0 58.8
Rebounds - Defensive 44.6 42.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.4 16.5
Turnovers 18.1 20.4
Blocked Shots 3.3 1.5
Steals 8.2 9.6
Fouls 34.6 28.8

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +4.9 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSW LAL
Total Possessions 103.9
Effective Scoring Chances 96.2 99.9

% of Possessions with GSW LAL
2 Point Attempt 25.2% 49.5%
3 Point Attempt 30.7% 6.8%
Player Fouled 27.7% 33.3%
Turnover 17.4% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 7.9%

Odds Per Shot Taken GSW LAL
Shot Blocked 2.2% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 19.7% 27.0%