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Portland at LA Lakers

  Monday Feb 20, 2012 - 10:30 pm - Los Angeles, CA | Odds: Los Angeles by 4, Total Points: 181 | Team Pages: POR | LAL

Box Score Projection

Scoring POR LAL
Points 122.9 74.6
Total Points   197.6
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 37.8
Points From 3-Pointers 51.3 4.6
Points From Free Throws 32.2 32.2

Shooting POR LAL
Field Goals Made 36.8 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 84.9 77.9
Field Goal % 43.4% 26.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 18.9
2 Pointers Attempted 46.3 66.9
2 Point Shooting % 42.6% 28.3%
3 Pointers Made 17.1 1.5
3 Pointers Attempted 38.6 11.1
3 Point Shooting % 44.4% 14.0%
Free Throws Made 32.2 32.2
Free Throws Attempted 41.7 39.4
Free Throw % 77.3% 81.7%

Ball Control POR LAL
Rebounds 63.9 51.1
Rebounds - Defensive 42.4 32.4
Rebounds - Offensive 21.5 18.7
Turnovers 6.1 11.8
Blocked Shots 4.6 1.1
Steals 3.0 6.8
Fouls 19.2 31.9

Playing Style Advantage: LA Lakers

Expected Effect: +1.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats POR LAL
Total Possessions 95.2
Effective Scoring Chances 110.6 102.1

% of Possessions with POR LAL
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 57.8%
3 Point Attempt 32.9% 9.6%
Player Fouled 33.5% 20.2%
Turnover 6.4% 12.4%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 3.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken POR LAL
Shot Blocked 1.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 39.9% 30.6%