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LA Lakers at San Antonio

  Friday Apr 20, 2012 - 9:30 pm - San Antonio, TX | Odds: San Antonio by 6.5, Total Points: 203 | Team Pages: LAL | SAS

Box Score Projection

Scoring LAL SAS
Points 90.5 124.0
Total Points   214.5
Points From 2-Pointers 48.7 56.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.2 45.9
Points From Free Throws 15.6 21.5

Shooting LAL SAS
Field Goals Made 33.1 43.6
Field Goals Attempted 76.7 72.5
Field Goal % 43.2% 60.1%
2 Pointers Made 24.4 28.3
2 Pointers Attempted 59.5 41.2
2 Point Shooting % 41.0% 68.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 15.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 31.4
3 Point Shooting % 50.7% 48.8%
Free Throws Made 15.6 21.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 26.4
Free Throw % 81.7% 81.2%

Ball Control LAL SAS
Rebounds 29.2 48.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.6 36.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.3
Turnovers 11.7 13.1
Blocked Shots 0.9 2.5
Steals 6.7 4.9
Fouls 27.4 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: San Antonio

Expected Effect: +1.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats LAL SAS
Total Possessions 91.4
Effective Scoring Chances 88.2 89.6

% of Possessions with LAL SAS
2 Point Attempt 58.9% 39.9%
3 Point Attempt 17.0% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.2% 30.0%
Turnover 12.8% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 5.4% 7.4%

Odds Per Shot Taken LAL SAS
Shot Blocked 3.5% 1.2%
Offensive Rebound 18.8% 35.5%