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Philadelphia at New Orleans

  Wednesday Jan 4, 2012 - 8:00 pm - New Orleans, LA | Odds: Philadelphia by 5.5, Total Points: 181.5 | Team Pages: PHI | NOH

Box Score Projection

Scoring PHI NOH
Points 79.5 136.2
Total Points   215.8
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 111.5
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 8.6
Points From Free Throws 17.6 16.1

Shooting PHI NOH
Field Goals Made 28.4 58.6
Field Goals Attempted 117.4 92.6
Field Goal % 24.2% 63.3%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 55.7
2 Pointers Attempted 98.7 71.4
2 Point Shooting % 23.6% 78.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 2.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 13.5%
Free Throws Made 17.6 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 31.0 33.3
Free Throw % 56.7% 48.4%

Ball Control PHI NOH
Rebounds 57.7 72.8
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 51.2
Rebounds - Offensive 35.7 21.6
Turnovers 9.5 8.9
Blocked Shots 9.4 41.3
Steals 7.0 4.6
Fouls 22.6 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: New Orleans

Expected Effect: +11.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PHI NOH
Total Possessions 98.2
Effective Scoring Chances 124.4 110.9

% of Possessions with PHI NOH
2 Point Attempt 65.6% 57.8%
3 Point Attempt 12.5% 17.2%
Player Fouled 13.2% 23.0%
Turnover 9.7% 9.0%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 7.1%

Odds Per Shot Taken PHI NOH
Shot Blocked 46.0% 9.0%
Offensive Rebound 41.1% 49.5%