IMPORTANT: Due to prediction logic refinements we are making, Week 5 college football predictions are likely to change by mid-week.

Miss State at Kentucky

  Saturday Oct 6, 2012 - 12:21 pm - Lexington, KY | Odds: Mississippi State by 10, Total Points: 48.5 | Team Pages: MSST | KENT

Game Winner Pick Confidence Projection
Miss State MSST 75.8%
KENT 24.2%
ATS Pick Confidence Projection
KENT +10.0 MSST 49.8%
KENT 50.2%
Totals Pick Confidence Projection
Over 46.5 Over 51.5%
Under 48.5%
Money Line Value Pick Confidence Projection
KENT +314 MSST -2.5%
KENT 0.0%
Final Score Projection Likely Score Vegas Implied Actual
MSST 28.4 27 28.2 27
KENT 18.5 17 18.2 14

Offensive Stat Comparison

MSST KENT
Yards/Play 5.0 3.7
Points/Play 0.336 0.209
Rush Play % 58.04% 51.24%
Pass Play % 41.96% 48.76%
Completion % 56.56% 50.31%
3D Conv % 36.05% 27.61%
RZ Scoring % 83.33% 83.33%

Defensive Stat Comparison

MSST KENT
Opp Yards/Play 4.5 5.4
Opp Points/Play 0.261 0.358
Opp Completion % 64.84% 51.73%
Opp 3D Conv % 35.23% 41.07%
Opp RZ Scoring % 73.81% 77.78%